11/21/2010

Google odds, Android beat iOS 2 years ahead

October 2009, we have a translation of "iPhone could not win the battle smart phones," the article, the article used in desktop systems, Apple failed to guess, verify that it is ultimately in the handheld market failure.  Not optimistic about the closure of the culture and systems.

One reference and a Gartner's a prediction: the fourth quarter of 2012, Android smart phone shipments will exceed the iPhone OS (now renamed iOS) to 18%.

This prediction has now become a reality, and 2 years ahead of schedule!
 It is August 12 published Gartner report , Android Department of barbaric growth, but still 1.8% from 2009, with a year's time, up to a 17.2% market share!  Android replaced iOS position to become the third largest smart phone operating system, and in the U.S. market, is replaced by the BlackBerry boss's position.
Platform wars is the ecosystem of the survival of the fittest.  Android and iOS dispute is open and closed nature of the dispute.

Android in the second quarter growth, it is more a result of its open carriers (they hate Apple's arrogance, as well as to Apple per phone rebate to be helpless), and more handset manufacturers (Android is free , it can slash the R & D budget on consumer favorite custom above) and more products and price system composed of the product.  In this respect, iOS platform, while having an active developer of software and systems, but the depth and breadth of its platform, the Android platform in the swarmed in front of shade.
 Interestingly, in addition to the shame of history with the desktop computer to run Apple, and now there is even an analogy with Pearl Harbor to the Battle of Apple in the smartphone world Cuikulaxiu.

However, things have changed, perhaps not entirely opponents too strong.  iOS shipments of Apple itself, subject to availability, market demand is also far greater than their supply.  The iPhone 4 wantonly attack in the global market, I believe Apple will have a better second half to see the results, iPhone cell phone is still in the value chain - but Android can be expected that shipments will continue to grow rapidly , market share, Apple basically impossible to regain.

Also depressed compared Symbian and BlackBerry, the former continued to significantly reduce the share of the latter have high hopes for the second half even carry Blackberry OS 6 of the Torch, as it is more or a business orientation, I believe it is only intended to retain part of the escape users, it is difficult to fight for new users.
 One obvious fact that Google is more wishful thinking a loud.  The more successful Android platform, which means the ecosystem become more active.  While it is the quantity and quality of software is still not as good as iOS, but in a more robust ecosystem, they will cling to the rapid accumulation of mobile terminals in the brutal stretch, and ultimately affect the most critical consumer market.  Consumers have more choices, they will more cheaper bundled Android phone.  This is Google's advertising business is the greatest good, and the long term, Google Voice may also bring spending billions of voice users.
 The victory came too fast, surprised me.  Maybe the next surprise is to see beyond the iOS Android software applications faster.

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